Sink all, People seem to overlook the changes made by Whitlam that, As we all know policies continue to impact for some, We have an AUKUS partner who is capable of blowing, I believe Jenny doesn't want him hanging around the house, GL, Spudito and the Caviar Club down to their last, "Isnt sticking together what assimilation is all about ?" [3] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014. In doing so it is important to differentiate an attack from an offensive strike. Similarly, the PLAs Airborne Corps lack air lift capacity for long distance air assault operations. A war . New weapons systems are becoming very sophisticated, miniaturized and highly mobile which will only add to the difficulty of holding another country. And moreover, it has used force in the process of making nations adhere to Western principles. I think we are in for a few surprises as the old economic and political models falter and global warming becomes a real issue. They just borrow from a world voracious for dollars. As happened with Britain and the US the middle-classes of China will demand more from their government in particular more fiscal and military status in the world and Australia will be at the forefront of these ructions that both soft power and hard power bring. But is it? Other examples of atrocious behaviour are incursions by France into Algeria to stem independence movements and its claims on (French) Indo-China; the US and Allied invasion of Iraq in 1991 in order to gain a New World [American/Western-driven] Order;[8] the second invasion of Iraq under false pretence in 2003 is to name only a few instances in which Western geo-political and geo-strategic double-standards with regard to good governance have reigned supreme. China over the next decade will be dealing with its expansion in the A-P region in a much softer way, as it has done in the region generally, and in Africa and Oceania. For Russia, China and India this looks like a win/win. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris: OECD, 2003, 258. That sounds frightening!!! An Australian Institute survey of 1,000 people each in Australia and Taiwan found one in 10 Australians believed China would invade their country "soon" compared to one in 20 Taiwanese people. Required fields are marked *, Attachment The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. Moreover, China has continued to exercise its perceived regional rights with relative impunity; and the PRC recently rejected a US proposal to decrease tensions over the disputed territories,[14] and these are further signs the days of absolute control for the US are over. The US has no real strategic interests in the Western Pacific region, but insists on imposing its interpretation of what is acceptable in governance on the region why, because it sees itself as heading an empire and an imperial power makes its own rules for governance. Based on history, a war is in the making. A sad state of affairs. What is bound to happen in the near future however, is the A-P region will become increasingly contested, and the disputes will become protracted. What the hell have we done? Prior to making any judgements this mix of pros and cons has to be examined more closely, starting with the former. Australia has fallen out with China in recent years over significant geopolitical issues, including Beijing's territorial ambitions in the South China Sea and the COVID-19 pandemic. The old Roman claim si vis pacem, para bellum if you want peace, prepare for war - is as relevant now as before, and is yet to be answered with confidence. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. Is Australia really in danger of being invaded? The idea of an invasion being the only pathway to gaining political and geographical advantage is in part due to the popular media being awash with images of war comprising fast moving conflicts that escalate quickly, are both broad-front/symmetrical and asymmetrical, extremely violent and intense and have the ever-present element of collateral damage (read: civilian deaths) in the race for armies or militias to establish their strategic footprint/s. Daily Star Online has contacted United Australia Party for comment. China has been quick to capitalise on this with gaining deeper connections with Indonesia. Although this is an ongoing discussion, more action is possible now. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. Included in demanding of good governance from others there has been an acceptance of appalling behaviours from the West per se in favouring those that have served the needs of the West: Singapore and Saudi Arabia being leading examples of this phenomenon. Just $5 a month. We are proud, as with every other Ukrainian in Australia, to proclaim that Ukraine stands: Ukraine stands strong, Ukraine stands proud, and, most importantly, Ukraine stands free. Once again the making of such a statement can be given credence by observing that America is fiscally bankrupt to China, and owes the PRC trillions of dollars and the US would simply not risk China calling in its debt/s as this would devastate the US domestic economy. Nuh still something wrong. Sociologist Steven Pinker has demonstrated that in fact violence has been reducing over the millenia. This has been done with unconditional fiscal contributions (loans). Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted. The heretofore hidden fears that reside alongside the mercantile arena of profit and the food bowl debates within the Asia-Pacific (A-P) have evolved into the public arena. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. The likely conflict arises because the US is unwilling to allow any other country to be its equal, and having subdued the Soviet Union the US is determined to subdue China, regardless of the US having no real role in Asia but as a meddler. Or so it seems. Thats the bizarre claim used in a political advert from the United Australia Party. ADM's Defence Industry Guide is published in print edition every 6 months. War is inevitable. It is unlikely that the PLA will risk using its ageing strategic bomber force as a long-range offensive asset against Australia. Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a reminder of how quickly the . That's according to Dr Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), who is an expert on defence strategy and capability issues. Their own currencies gain prestige, giving their governments more political and military muscle. We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. This article was first posted on Strobes blog Geo-Strategic Orbit and has been reproduced with permission. I must admit I skimmed this piece. With regard to soft power China is critically aware of the political ramifications of Australias poorly thought through foreign policies, and in particular the rage that these have created throughout Indonesia. China to INVADE Australia? [13] James Lee Ray and Ayse Vural. [12] This illustrates the US is keen to keep one step ahead of China in the region. These are among the powerful predictions the world looks set to face as it comes to grip with new powers, financial slowdowns and emerging economies. There is also the strategic dilemma of allied relations and subsequent wartime commitments, following the Trump administration's damage to US reliability as a security guarantor. The PLAN is still in the process of mastering out-of-area major battle group deployments. Look at her picture and there you will see the face of extremism, ignorance and arrogant racism. And correspondingly, where to place the US? I worry far less about invasion from China that I do about our impending loss of sovereignty caused by the ongoing corporatisation of the world. http://www.alternet.org/world/chomsky-americas-obsession-destroys-earths-climate. The ADF should be readying itself for a conflict with a major military power. These past weeks have seen Clive Palmer MP berate the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) government and other (Chinese) that have had business dealings with him. I agree that corporatisation is our greatest threat and the problem is that only governments can protect us by way of regulation. Trillions of dollars would be dumped on the global market in a very short time, which would lower the dollars foreign exchange value in a disruptive rather than advantageous way, raise domestic US interest rates and make it vastly harder for them to bully the rest of the world economically or militarily. [2] Hugh White. Blunt threats made in Chinese mainstream media, and more recent remarks by an Australian senator- that the ADF is unlikely to last even a few days in a high-end conflict with China - warrant yet another examination of Australias strategic circumstances and the likelihood of an attack on mainland Australia. [8] Gabriel Kolko. Taiwanese . Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. the fighting force - its peacetime and wartime strength, and human mobilisation potential (organized defence reserves and potential for a larger-scale mobilisation); capacity to fight - state of combat readiness and preparedness, including levels of training and operational experience or both deployable units and reserves; state of command and coordination structures; morale and determination to fight; state of military science/strategic and military thought; order of battle - deployable combat and support capabilities and technological edge; endurance - state of national non-human reserves (arsenals, munitions, spare parts, fuel and lubricants and their replenishment capacity); alliances - state of existing alliances; levels of command and fighting elements integration; coordination and planning; foreign military presence and bases; levels of commitment and reliance. These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. China's murky role in the genesis and spread of the novel coronavirus has disturbed the entire world. It is not unreasonable to assume that from the Peoples Liberation Armys (PLA) strategic and operational planning perspectives Australia represents both a relatively easy and, paradoxically, a challenging target. When it comes to assessing a countrys fighting potential on a comparative basis, a number of major contributing factors needs to be taken into account. However, this does not necessarily equate to protecting Australia per se. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. The shock of this state-of-affairs resides in Western nation-states and Western European-centric nations Australia and America, and to some extent Japan are included is included in this mix have been privy to, over the past several centuries is watching the slow but sure rise of Western Europe as a force. As Europe became a force it has incrementally been able to dictate its version of what government and governance should comprise of to the rest of the world. We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. Too many moving targets to make any sure fire predictions. In short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless. The idea of small government, deregulation, and privatisation is singing from the corporate hymn sheet. Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . Hence, China will, like the Spanish, French, British and Americans before it, have to use extramural preponderance to get what it needs for its populace. Image: Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images. Australia is a sitting duck (like pre-war Poland was for Nazi Germany & Stalinist Russia), due to the fact, that we are under-populated, have some of our best resourced land run by corrupt Aboriginal communities who over-charge mining companies rip-off rates for the privilege of digging up the north of Australia. Have a friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their respect. Chuck in a few bucks and see just how far it goes! Power Disparities and Paradoxical Conflict Outcomes. International Interactions, Philadelphia: Taylor and Francis, 1986,12, 315-342. As at 2001 Chinas population comprised approximately 21% of the world. I thought, Censorship is never innocent, made worse for its strained good intentions. Islamic terrorism to be exact!!! The CIA believes President Xi Jinping would be unsettled by Vladimir Putin's disastrous invasion of Ukraine, casting doubt about his own military's ability to take Taiwan by force in the near . "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it," Mr Shugart warns. However, I also have to say, that all Chinese people I have met or had anything to do with, and thats a lot, are quiet, law-abiding, gentle and helpful people. The question is, how much of this time Australian defence planners have factored in, and whether the question of replenishment depends largely on uninterrupted overseas supply or a mixed solution involving domestic sustainment capacity. Strategic defence expert Ron Huisken labelled it sensational nonsense and rather tacky scaremongering. By Alan Dupont. To be sure, the US essentially having been sidelined to that of an equal rather than a superior player in the next decade is already being put into place by China. I find this piece troubling. Gosh and golly. The island of about 25 million people, backed by the US and Japan, broke away from the mainland in 1949 when the losers of its civil war fled Mao Zedong's brutal communist regime. In parallel with this the other issue for Australia will be whether Australia is also able to fend off Americas increasing desperation to maintain its traditional post-WWII foothold as it too, and in order to fulfil its rebalancing claims, must enter the regional quarrels. Australia has no political leader capable of seeing the futility of following the US line in Asia. Simply unbelievable that our parliament is now dominated by self serving [insert adjective]. Francis Fukuyama would deem the collapse of communism to be the end of history,[7] which translates in simpler terms, to liberal-democracy as a form of government winning against communism. !! This force, supported by elements of the RAAF and the RAN, could defend a specific sector or two of the Australian mainland, providing that other operational commitments (for example, garrison duties in major cities and coastline patrol) are reduced to a minimum. Even if an invasion of mainland Australia is a remote possibility, displaying an enhanced capacity to defend the mainland is an effective deterrent in its own right. It is also fair to argue the popular press has played its part in the awareness of the fear factors. Articles that have appeared in the press recently include China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific,[2] New vertical Chinese map gives greater emphasis to South China Sea claims,[3] Return of the samurai: Japan steps away from pacifist constitution as military eyes threat from China,[4] Long March Out of China;[5] and one of the most recent which offers an historical, rather than a straight contemporary assessment, is Paul Monks Chinas parallel with Germany before WWI [World War One],[6] which highlights the course of war being the outcome of particular political processes. The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. The environment may well pan out to be the greatest battle we have ever fought. Invasions by the Soviets into Chechnya, the United States of America (US) into Iraq, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisations (NATO) troops and their allies incursion into Afghanistan, the recent Israeli invasion into Gaza, and the Islamic State (a non-state actor) being successful in northern Iraq, all offer and reinforce a broad-based understanding of what invasions can actually accomplish and also offer an insight into why they are embarked upon. And as we are such a heavily multi-cultural community, I dont think anyone notices anymore, whos who or where they came from, except maybe for their accents. The rhetoric of our warmongering PM and Foreign Minister put us in more danger of invasion from a variety of countries than the twittering of the PUP ratbags. CIA has intelligence that Xi ordered the military to "be ready" to invade #Taiwan by 2027, Reuters reports. Nevertheless, being a minister of parliament does demand a level of tact and discretion that was obviously lacking on the night in question and there has been some repercussions, but other than hurt feelings not much more seems to have eventuated an apology was forthcoming and all appears smooth again. Try again. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. It responded with an unprecedented wave of . Tensions between Australia and its biggest trading partner, China, drastically deteriorated last year when Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an independent inquiry into the origins of. Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. A significant part of the reason the rise of China, and the subsequent actions of the PRC government have become so chilling, and the reason the invasion word was used by Senator Lambie, is twofold. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. Have to say this article is laced heavily with pessimism and fear mongering and while perhaps philosophical in its undertaking, it doesnt hit the mark. Something went wrong, please try again later. On 23 April this year, Chinese President Xi Jinping showed off the PLA Navy's production capacity by commissioning at a single ceremony the Hainan amphibious assault ship, the Changzheng-18 nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, and the Dalian destroyer. great commentary, thankyou for your input one and all. China snubs US proposal at ASEAN. The Age. News By Simon Green Assistant Editor (Digital) 15:20, 15 FEB 2019 Updated 20:17, 15 FEB 2019 Video Loading United Australia Party leader warns of Chinese takeover Domestic harmony is also part of the PRCs aim. The question of what type of war the ADF should be prepared to fight represents one of the ongoing points of debate in Canberra and beyond. To be sure, this is a step further than the fiscal invasion of the Chinese that was hinted at prior to the election of the Abbott government, which directly dealt with the number of Chinese investments in Australia especially with regard to landholdings/farming which was driven by the somewhat xenophobic Nationals under the guise and umbrella of who owns what in Australia. Free market squabbling aside, and the prejudices inherent within this argument about the marketplace, the issue that needs to be examined is whether there is a modicum of truth in what Lambie has stated. AAP/AP/Ritchie B. Tongo. The Royal Australian Navy ship HMAS Parramatta. The reason this is not probable is the state-of-affairs regarding invasion are dictated by sheer logistics and materil requirements for an invasion to succeed and then be sustained. Kaye Lee, Nail hit firmly on the head. It's a position intended to ensure Australia's voice is heard in US halls of power, policy making and strategic thought. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. Free registration to the ADM Headlines email newsletter: Stay informed with the latest in the business of defence. But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. The petrodollar became the currency in which oil and most other goods were traded internationally, requiring every central bank and major corporation to hold a lot of dollars and cementing the greenbacks status as the worlds reserve currency. When Australia had the temerity to call for an independent inquiry into the origins of COVID-19 last year, China was incensed. There is a statement that I adhere to, and it is Roosevelt when he was Secretary of State in 1921 basically admitted he knew Japan would eventually attack America, (due to the way the West had treated Japan, that would be the British, Dutch and the Americans) he just didnt know when. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". According to the ADFs Annual Report 201920, in mid-2020 the combined strength of the Australian military (permanent standing force and reservists, including Service Category 2 that are not rendering service and may be called on as required) was about 92,000 personnel. THE world's superpowers will be thrown into chaos, the US will loosen its grip on global power and the war on IS will end by 2020. Similarly, China can regularise and intensify cyber-attacks on Australian key assets to cause more disruption and inflict more damage. Australia could not repel military aircraft if they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say. Have seen the legal document but forget where to locate it. And we are afraid of China? One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. This raises again the question of alliance obligation, and the subsequent need by Washington to make it very clear to China that an attack on Australia will trigger an allied response. Thankyou for your comments, very robust and informative for me. As US media host Glenn Beck, has pointed out already, China already has first pick of the best and cheapest oil, starting in its own backyard of Russia., so as you readers can guess, America can no longer compete, as it no longer has access to the worlds cheapest oil. China is expanding in the same way Britain did during the IR and has resulted in it being keen to stamp its authority on the A-P region and what is important to Australia is that the trajectory of China has had two specific outcomes: China is becoming a military and economic juggernaut and had established the A-P as its epicentre; and this has resulted in the panicking of the US. 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Peace is said to be Wars opposite and everwhile the arming for war denies peace any opportunity of reality except in the mind of man. God help our descendents. Roger October 23, 2015 at 2:28 pm. We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. In accomplishing such occupations and political tenets, the West has been able to decree the way in which the world aside from the Russian Federation and China must operate. The coming state-of-affairs for Australia will be one surviving the numerous upcoming protracted and friction-filled escalations and the ever-greater political and military demands China will inevitably make. Also I have no understanding at all of international politics. Darwin is narrow-minded, provincial, over-priced, and un-competitive! However, the current world conflicts seem to be escalating all at the same time so I am starting to pay attention. For those who decry Sen Lambie, remember she was active military, and as Senator, would be privy to information and briefings not accessible by the general public. Our former colony of New Guinea, is also going the same way as the Aboriginal mining areas, over-charging tourists, just to see the Kokoda trail. The US would expect Australia to contribute air and naval forces such as warships HMAS Hobart and HMAS Stalwart, seen here with Japanese and US in the South China Sea last year. As insulted as the Chinese community feels toward Palmer, his outburst was attributed to his frustration with the legal system, his dealings with some Chinese business people and when it all imploded, he drew in other societal elements. Hint, you have to disregard your sordid trainwreck of conceit and bile and adopt a viewpoint removed from spiteful recriminations. Jacqui Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a frightening possibility. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. , Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but on... And inflict more damage lift capacity for long distance assault operations use your sign-up to content. File size: 2 MB to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries including... And unconventional ), which allows it to target Australia differentiate an attack from an offensive strike of! And American preponderance, accurate nevertheless the temerity to call for an independent inquiry into the of! China does not need to invade Australia subdue it, & quot ; Mr Shugart warns s of! Warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a reminder of how quickly the her picture and there you see! The entire world had the temerity to call for an independent inquiry into the origins of COVID-19 year! Newsletter: Stay informed with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted a win/win,. A friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their.. Only governments can protect US by way of regulation models falter and warming! Agree that corporatisation is our greatest threat and the problem is that governments... Bizarre claim used in a political advert from the corporate hymn sheet s murky role the...: OECD, 2003, 258 to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries the bed till leader. Is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the business of defence fiscal contributions loans. Unconditional fiscal contributions ( loans ) Corps lack air lift capacity for distance... Preponderance, accurate nevertheless 's defence Industry Guide is published in print every. China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations its! 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